Forecasting of turkey's renewable energy resources demand with ti̇me seri̇es esti̇mati̇on metod

The damage caused by the use of fossil fuels has become a requirement for renewable energy because of its limited reserves and the obligation to import. This demand, which is energy, will increase the validity of planning studies to be predicted correctly. In this study to avoid the harmful effects of nonrenewable energy resources on the environment and to provide economical advantages, renewable energy resources which is an alternative energy that we can go towards is (solar, wind, hydropower, geotermal, biomass) introduced, whose potential and cost are analyzed across Turkey and across the World and avantages and disavantage are emphasised. When the demand for energy is estimated correctly, it contributes to investment decisions and import and export rates. With the work done, estimates of YSA and ARIMA models of each energy source for the next 14 years and the demand for the next 12 years with gray forecasting model were obtained by using consumption data between 1990-2014. Arıma and Gray Estimation models established for evaluate the ANN models and comparisons were made. When the results of these methods are evaluated, it is seen that the YSA method is much more successful than the other two methods.