Productivity and macroeconomic effects of foreign direct investment: The case of Turkey, China and India

It is accepted that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) will bring knowledge, technology and capital to host country and will increase efficiency, accelerate economic growth, contribute to cover the current account deficit, increase investment and employment in the host country.In this study; FDI's contributions to host country?s productivity and effects on macroeconomic indicators has been analyzed as comparative in Turkey, China and India case. For this purpose, effects of FDI on productivity, economic growth, current account deficit, domestic investments and employment were separately investigated by means of time series analysis methods which consider structural breaks by using 1981-2011 period annual data.As a result of the empirical analysis 1% increases of FDI in Turkey, increases total factor productivity by 0.10%, economic growth by 0.49% and domestic investments by 0.12%, decreases current account deficit by 2.79% and employment by 0.01%. It was observed that it increases the total factor productivity by 0.35%, economic growth by 0.74%, current account surplus by 1.50%, domestic investments by 0.08% and employment by 0.042% in China. On the other hand in India it increases the total factor productivity by 0.08%, economic growth by 0.17% and employment by 0.015% and decreases domestic investments by 0.05% and current account deficit by 0.21%.