2022 Russian-Ukraine War within the framework of neorealism theory

This thesis analyzes the dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine war that started on February 24, 2022, from the perspective of neorealism. Framed within the neorealist theory, this study examines the strategic reasons behind the conflict, focusing on Russia's perception of Ukraine's rapprochement with NATO and the EU as a threat. It discusses Russia's objective of increasing its influence over Ukraine and the implications of this intervention for European security and regional stability. The thesis highlights the escalating tensions between Ukraine's efforts to integrate with the West and Russia's aim to strengthen its geopolitical position. The study explores the tendencies of major powers in international relations to act within the frameworks of security and power balance. Using the Russia-Ukraine war as a case study, it underscores the neorealist view that states pursue strategic objectives to ensure their security within the international system. Possible scenarios, such as a frozen conflict, Ukraine's victory, or a pragmatic government agreeing to territorial concessions, are evaluated to assess the long-term regional and global consequences of the war. In this context, it is argued that the outcomes of the Russia-Ukraine war may extend beyond the two nations, posing a significant security threat on a broader scale.