Turkey's food supply securityanalysis in the framework of structural problems and climate changes

In recent years, Covid-19 Pandemic, climate changes, political reasons such as developments, wars and increase in world population have brought the problem of food supply security into discussion. In addition to the increasing population, climate changes have also begun to prevent people from accessing safe food, resulting in insufficiency of food supply despite the increasing demand. The issue of food supply security, which affects the whole world as well as poses a problem for Turkey, is addressed from Turkey's perspective. Although climate changes have affected food supply security, Turkey's structural problems are also included in the analysis within this framework. When the global food safety index scores are examined, it is seen that Turkey has a good performance in terms of quality and safety, but a poor performance in terms of affordability. In order to make food safety values sustainable, food prices must be made affordable and stable. With the ARDL analysis conducted with Turkey's 1989-2022 annual data set, the effects of inflation, food imports, total population number and annual average temperature values on the food production index were examined.Our analysis results concluded that there is a long-term and significant relationship between the variables. Inflation, imports and population affect the food production index positively, while the temperature variable affects it negatively.