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Combined estimation method on fuzzy soft sets

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2018
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Abstract (EN)

The uncertainty of the future has frightened mankind throughout history, and mankind has used many techniques in response to this in order to reduce uncertainty or to remove it. It is well known that macroeconomics, biology, medicine, engineering and social sciences are very important as well as the way of forecasting future events and conditions is in business. Preparing for the script that will take place at an unprecedented time, making plans and determining policies and ultimately making decisions will only be possible with good predictions of the future. A good estimate of this will also reduce the anxiety of uncertainty. Today, there are many estimation techniques used, such as regression analysis, time series analyzes and heuristic methods. However, each method produces different results because its infrastructure and algorithm are different from each other. Those who are directly interested in forecasting results want to know the most accurate end result analysis technique. Because, rightly, the accurate prediction of future events will provide an advantage in the intense competition environment. In this thesis study prepared by moving from point to point, different estimation techniques are combined on a set of fuzzy soft sets and a prediction value is obtained with a single output. In the analysis, the actual data on macroeconomic variables that are thought to have an impact on the BIST 100 levels are used. The generated data set was analyzed with a univariate or multivariate estimate analysis and the obtained results were combined on a fuzzy set. The success of each method and combination model was measured by error terms and this measurement puts forward the combined model. Key Words: Forecasting, Fuzzy Soft Sets, Combine Models.

Author

Buğra Bağcı

How to Cite

Buğra Bağcı (Doctorate thesis). Combined estimation method on fuzzy soft sets, 2018, Hitit University.

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