Construction of mortality table for pension system and Turkey

In actuarial science and demography, a life table is a table which shows, for each age, what the probability is that a person of that age will die before his or her next birthday. Developments countries use a life table which reflects demographic structure of their countries. The purpose of this thesis is constructed a life table which is demonstrated demographic features of Turkey with changing database.In application of this thesis, Turkey Abridged Period Life Tables are constructed by using population, deaths and births data which are published by TUİK. The tables are obtained for general, female and male population in section 5.4. The forecasting of older ages pattern of mortality have been necessaried because of increasing older population. Thus, number of person lived have been estimated for older ages in section 5.4.1. In section 5.4.2, Abridged Period Life Tables have been finally formed for regions that are determined in level IBBS-1 by TUİK. In section 5.3, The Exponential Smoothing Method is used for modeling death rates of urban and general population. The death rates of urban population are forecasted by using smoothed constant are compared the real deaths rates of general population. As a result of this analysis showed us, trend of urban and general death rates are different to each other.In this thesis, Turkey Life Tables are constructed by using survival analysis. And the methodology of survival analysis is explained in section 2. Moreover, demographic approach is used for period life table analysis which is explained in section 3.