On determination of soil Radon-222 gas, meteorological parameters, atmospheric total electron content and possible relationships between earthquakes: A Monte Carlo forecasting simulation application

In the literature, no research is available on determining the relationship between earthquakes and Total Electron Content (TEC) and Radon-222 gas concentrations. One of the main reasons for this study is to take an important step to close the gap mentioned in this field. In this area, there are studies on the change of TEC in the atmosphere close to the ground and the relationship between earthquakes and researches on Rn-222 and earthquake co-exchange. However, no research has yet been conducted where three of these changes are together. In this study, Erzincan-Ekşisu, a seismically highly active region on the North Anatolian Fault Line, was chosen as the research area. The statistical distributions of the data obtained were determined and modelled using ARIMA and Monte Carlo Simulation techniques and predictions were made for future data estimates.