ARIP döneminde tarımsal dönüşüm ve iş gücü hareketliliği: Türkiye hane halkı iş gücü anketine bir uygulama, 2000-2002

This thesis analyses the transition dynamics in and out of agricultural and non-agricultural employment in the Turkish labor market during ARIP period. A multinomial logit model is used to determine the factors that affect these processes. Before launching our investigation of the flows, we dealt with the attrition/substitution problem. We reviewed the methodology developed by Tunalı, Ekinci and Yavuzoglu (2011) and adopt it for the problem we have. Empirical findings confirm that there is a systematic relationship between attrition behavior and labor market outcomes in the HLFS. For aged 15 and over, non-participant and unemployed in both periods are severely overrepresented in the balanced panel. In addition, employed individuals in agriculture are underrepresented in the balanced panel. We calculate weights (reflation/deflation factors) for an individual. We then use these weights in MNL regression as probability weights. The MNL results enlighten the challenges of making successful transition to non-agriculture that faced by the workers who left the agriculture. Age and educational attainment are crucial for making a successful transition between agriculture and non-agriculture. Elder generations and less educated people are more likely to continue with farming. Better educated individuals are more likely to flow into non-agricultural employment.