Hükümet içi ayrılıklar ve iç savaşları sonlandırmak: Hükümet içi ayrılıklar iç savaşların müzakere ile sonlandırılma şansını nasıl azaltır

Main purpose of this thesis is to develop and test hypotheses about the factors that make it difficult to reach a negotiated settlement that terminates the intrastate conflicts. The theoretical question on how characteristics of governments affect the termination of intrastate conflicts remains relatively unexplored. This thesis makes contribution to the literature by presenting a framework explains intrastate conflict termination (or lack of it) as a result of the information and credibility problems exacerbated by government fragmentation. This framework reasons that government fragmentation (conceptualized as the abundance of factions within the government and the internal incoherence of each faction) decreases the likelihood of intrastate conflict termination. I test my hypotheses on a Large-N time-series dataset of 503 rebel groups in 108 countries from 1946 to 2014. Empirical analysis shows that intrastate conflicts are less likely to terminate when the level of government fragmentation is high.