Evaluation of the effects of earthquakes on radon and total electron content values and meteorological changes: A Monte Carlo simulation prediction

An ARIMA and Monte Carlo simulation application are proposed to analyze the relationship of soil Rn-222 gas, ionospheric Total Electron Content (TEC) and some meteorological variables with earthquakes from the North Anatolian Fault Zone, Corum, Turkiye, one of the most active fault lines in the world. With the obtained results, statistically significant results are obtained for Earthquake-Radon gas changes and Seismo- Ionospheric Coupling. In addition, predictions were made and interpreted for future dates with unknown Rn gas concentrations. We think that this study will be an important step for further studies on earthquake prediction.