Looking to the future; modelling and prediction of bitcoin with deep learning

Money has been important in every century, but the one-to-one alternative to money has gained importance in the current century. The world economy is now shifting from tangible money to crypto money and virtual banking system. This behavior has accelerated in recent years as people have become accustomed to the convenience of using cards instead of cash. With the development of the logistics system, people have had the opportunity to shop from a local dealer on the other side of the world. Moreover, there is no need to pay very serious differences for this. It would not be wrong to say that this globalization is driving the world towards a single currency. Sudden changes in the exchange rate, the availability of a product in different markets with very different prices, and the subjection of labor to different wages in different parts of the world have become challenging for people. As a solution to these and other problems, the transition to the global currency is and will continue to be shown. For this, firstly the current system should be collapsed and then the new system need to be installed. Whether the new currency will be Bitcoin is still a matter of debate, but it is certain that the current monetary system will no longer be used in the next decade. In this study, a cointegration analysis with Bitcoin and altcoin, which is thought to be related to it, with exchange rates, world-famous stock markets and commodities has been performed. The causality analyzes of the variables that were found to be cointegrated were completed and the deep learning method was applied to the artificial neural network model, and the 31, 45 and 60-day forecast of Bitcoin prices were made.