Determination of natural gas consumption for Şanliurfa provinceusing energy forecast methods

of the natural gas consumed in our country was consumed in the residential sector. There are various methods ranging from simple methods to complex computer simulation programs for calculating the amount of energy consumed in buildings. In this study, the actual natural gas consumption amounts of ten sample buildings selected in Şanlıurfa province were compared with the estimated natural gas consumption amounts calculated using 16-year average thousand, degree day and degree hour values and degree hour values for the last four years between 2020-2023. The energy forecasting methods used were compared with each other and their efficiency and accuracy were analyzed. As a result of the calculations, it was determined that realistic energy consumption values can be achieved with upto-date meteorological data sets. As a result of global warming, a decrease in heating degree hour values has been observed through calculations. As a result of the study, it was determined that natural gas consumption is low in well-insulated buildings and that user profile and comfort temperature affect natural gas consumption.It is found that the degree hour estimation method gives results closer to the actual values than the bin method. It is concluded that the degree hour method can calculate the periodic energy demand of a region or city and especially the amount of natural gas consumption.