Assessment of biorefinery products with extrapolation approach

In this thesis study, the chemicals which were produced with biorefinery methods were analysed with the Fisher-Pry model approach which was one of the extrapolation methods and relevant projection studies have been made. Production amounts and market shares of biochemicals which have prosmising futures and petroleum variations were examined. According to the result of the researches among different forecasting methods, Fisher-Pry model was decided to be used. Later on, comparisons were done with the help of the decided mathematical method and the time of domination for the bio-sourced chemicals was examined. According to the results of the researches and applications, it has been forcast that the examined bio-sourced chemicals will overtake the market share with %100 in the next 6 to 10 years. The results of the research and applications of selected biobased chemicals, sussinic acid (2021), furfural (2032), 1,3-propanediol (2036) and lactic acid (2029) will have 100% of their market dominance.